The era of the “Magnificent Seven” stocks, which has defined recent market rallies, appears to be waning. This group of high-flying tech giants, once celebrated for their role in driving stock market gains, is now facing significant challenges.
The term “Magnificent Seven” refers to seven prominent tech companies: Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Apple, Tesla, and Nvidia. These stocks surged dramatically following the November 2022 launch of OpenAI’s chatbot, which ignited investor enthusiasm about the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) to revolutionize industries and generate substantial profits.
However, the global economic landscape has shifted since then. The abrupt change began with the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which triggered a sharp rise in inflation and prompted central banks worldwide to increase interest rates. This shift from a prolonged period of low rates and mild inflation led to a tumultuous year for stock markets in 2022, dampening investor optimism amid rising rates and recession fears.
Despite the market turmoil, the “Magnificent Seven” continued to soar, with their share prices rising by an average of 111% in 2023. Nvidia, in particular, experienced an astounding 240% increase during the same period. Yet, as the year progressed, some of these stocks began to falter. Tesla, facing heightened competition in the electric vehicle market, struggled, and recently, the rally has come to a halt.
In the past few weeks, the “Magnificent Seven” stocks have faced a severe selloff. On July 24, they experienced their worst daily drop since the launch of ChatGPT. From July 10 to 24, the seven stocks collectively lost over 10% of their value, entering correction territory for the first time in over a year and a half. This selloff erased more than $1.7 trillion from their combined market capitalization.
The catalyst for this downturn appears to be disappointing quarterly earnings reports from some of the companies. Tesla, in particular, saw its shares plummet more than 12% after reporting a 40% drop in profits. Alphabet, while beating profit expectations, fell over 5% as its ad revenues from YouTube fell short of hopes.
Anna Rathbun, Chief Investment Officer at CBiz Investment Advisory Services, noted that the “Magnificent Seven” were facing nearly impossible expectations. “Coming into this earnings season, the stocks really were up against almost an impossible expectation of beating perfection,” she explained.
Even Nvidia, despite a recent rally, has not escaped the selloff. Its shares have dropped more than 20% from their mid-June highs, slipping into ‘bear territory.’ Analysts are awaiting Nvidia’s upcoming earnings report with bated breath.
The broader market context reveals additional concerns. Aidan Donnelly, Head of Equities at Davy, highlighted a related issue: Lamb Weston, a major US producer of frozen potato products, saw its shares tumble 28% following dismal quarterly results. This decline reflects broader consumer spending issues, with cooling inflation and slowing growth raising alarms.
Donnelly underscored the growing concern over consumer spending and credit card debt, with balances past due reaching the highest level since 2012. As the focus shifts from high-tech stocks to broader economic indicators, the market remains on edge, reflecting a period of profound uncertainty and adjustment.